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Cats must stop Hawks firepower

Hawthorn's Jarryd Roughead battles with Geelong's Harry Taylor.

Hawthorn's Jarryd Roughead battles with Geelong's Harry Taylor. Photo: Sebastian Costanzo

If the attitude and the intensity between Geelong and Hawthorn is equal, then the firepower up forward could well determine Friday night's preliminary final. And if that is the case, I get the feeling the Hawks could blast the Cats off the park.

The Hawks are a superb kicking team. They back themselves with precise foot passing to bring the ball out of defence. Against Geelong, it's imperative that when they reach the midfield they don’t bomb long to Buddy Franklin and Jarryd Roughead. In the past, that’s where they have come unstuck. The long bombs play into the hands of tall defenders Tom Lonergan, Jared Rivers and especially Harry Taylor who are all good spoilers and intercept marks.

If Hawks pair Max Bailey and Hale get on top, get the ball into the midfielders’ hands, who in turn will feed the forwards, then it will spell gloom for Geelong. 

Hawks coach Alastair Clarkson has worked hard over the past two seasons to make sure his team isn't overly reliant on Franklin. Now it has a host of options with a multi-pronged forward set-up.

In 2011, Franklin kicked 82 goals and the next highest scorer was Luke Breust with 30. Last year, Franklin led the way with 69 goals, Breust kicked 45 and Roughead 41. This year, it’s Roughead on 70 goals and Franklin the support act on 58. But, importantly for the Hawks, Breust and Jack Gunston have each kicked 38 goals and four players in Jordan Lewis, Isaac Smith, David Hale and Cyril Rioli are averaging around a goal a game. Healthy goal contributions have also come from Paul Puopolo, Shaun Burgoyne and Bradley Hill, who have each kicked 15 goals for the season.

It means the Hawks, who are the highest-scoring team in the competition averaging 114 points per game, well and truly share the load. They have 11 players who have kicked 15 or more goals for the season; Geelong has only seven.

A major concern for the Cats is that their two key forwards are struggling. Tom Hawkins’ bad back has severely restricted his output, and James Podsiadly was as cold as ice last week. To make matters worse, Paul Chapman, who kicked four goals last week, will miss this game through suspension.

The Cats’ firepower has fallen away as the season has unfolded. In the first 11 games, the Cats scored 100-plus points on nine occasions. But in their past 13 games they have cracked the ton just four times. The Hawks, however, have passed 100 points in nine of their past 13 games.

With his key forwards not firing, Cats coach Chris Scott has improvised by pushing Harry Taylor and Joel Selwood forward. But against the Hawks, I don’t think he will have that luxury. Taylor will be needed in defence to help put the brakes on Franklin, Roughead and Hale, and Selwood’s grunt at the stoppages is vital.

To win, the Cats will have to roll the dice. They are at their best when they play fast footy. Steve Johnson and Jimmy Bartel will need to spend more time forward than they normally do, to compensate for the absence of Chapman and the low goal output of Hawkins and Podsiadly. And if ever a bag of goals was needed from Steven Motlop, it’s now. The speed machine has kicked 42 majors thus far, a fantastic return. Four more would have the Cats purring.

This season, the Cats are ranked No.1 for inside-50 entries, averaging 58 a game. The Hawks are ranked two, averaging 56. But the Hawks are No.1 for marks inside 50, with an average of 15 per game. The reasons why the Hawks take the most marks close to goal are many. Their foot passing skills are excellent. They are drilled to play on quickly. They are encouraged to be bold and back themselves to hit up a teammate even if he has only a one-metre break on his opponent. They work for each other by putting on blocks. And they are continually on the move. It also helps that on the lead, with arms outstretched, Roughead, Gunston, Franklin and Hale have safe hands when running hard at the ball.

Supply from the ruck stoppages will also play a big part in the result. When the Cats lost their first final to Fremantle, they were smashed in the hitouts 53-16 and in the clearances 43-22. Against Port Adelaide, they broke even. If Hawks pair Max Bailey and Hale get on top, get the ball into the midfielders’ hands, who in turn will feed the forwards, then it will spell gloom for Geelong.

31 comments so far

  • Does Robert Walls actually get paid to write this column? Hawthorn to my knowledge haven't SMASHED Geelong since 2008. For the past 11 encounters they've had either Roughead or Franklin or both but to no avail. According to Walls with their supposed ruck advantage, has also failed to get them across the line. Paul Chapman, who Walls suggests is going to be a big loss, DIDN'T play last time these teams met (neither did Steve Johnson) and the Cats, despite a charity goal for Hawthorn in the last quarter won well. Why doesn't Robert Walls predicate is opinions by openly declaring he is a Geelong basher, because he's not interested in giving the Cats any credit for continually adapting and renewing itself. Robert instead of constantly bagging Geelong and saying what they can't do, maybe it's time to concentrate on what they CAN DO. While their are ill informed comments emanating from so called sports journos , and former has been premiers, Geelong will always fancy their chances against Hawthorn.

    Commenter
    Rob S
    Location
    Hampton
    Date and time
    September 19, 2013, 5:45PM
    • I wonder what your claim to fame is Rob making fairly ignorant comments? As a Geelong supporter for many years and also a reader of Walls column, I can recall many of his articles espousing the greatness of the Cats over last few years. Also who was one of the very few sports journos to pick Freo in the first final. Yes the Hawks have some players who collapse under pressure and Geelong would like to put them to the sword, but not this time without Enright on the backline and a very ordinary Ruck combo. Throw in a fit Hodge and I would be surprised if the margin is less than 24 points. No good shooting the messenger, This time Hawks have things falling into place, it may even be dry. Freo might not be so easy for a hot premiership favourite.

      Commenter
      willco
      Date and time
      September 19, 2013, 6:51PM
  • You forgot to mention what happens to the Hawk's 'superb kicking' when placed under pressure. The pressure from the Swans in the last quarter of last year's GF resulted in their lowest kicking efficiency since Champion Data started recording . Go Freo!

    Commenter
    Andrew
    Location
    Melbourne
    Date and time
    September 19, 2013, 5:45PM
    • Walls tipping the Hawks. That has to equate to a 30 point Geelong win!

      Commenter
      Geoff, Melbourne
      Date and time
      September 19, 2013, 5:46PM
      • Thanks Wallsy you just sealed Hawks fate.

        Commenter
        Wallyoureawanka
        Date and time
        September 19, 2013, 6:12PM
        • Walls tipping the Hawks makes up for losing Chappy and Enright, and so we start level again...

          And time to review your old "Gary Ablett is no Chris Judd" article, surely he has been gone from Geelong for long enough now for you to recognise him as a real champion and leader.

          Commenter
          07091113
          Date and time
          September 19, 2013, 7:07PM
          • Where is the renewal on the so called sports writers bench. Robert walls is a bitter old man that should be pensioned off. A cats hater. . His input is worth precisely nothing.

            Commenter
            gauge501
            Location
            melbourne
            Date and time
            September 19, 2013, 7:09PM
            • I agree with you entirely, but I think I have offended Willco, he must be a relative of Wallsy. If you want any more evidence that Walls doesn't know what he's talking about listen to the last quarter of the '09 GF, there's plenty on display there.

              Commenter
              Rob S
              Location
              Hampton
              Date and time
              September 20, 2013, 10:57AM
          • You hit it in one rob,hawks haters are a dime a dozen, hawks are the best team to watch offensive brilliance vs rugby tacklers and head duckers,unless the cats get another 6-7 goals from free kicks they are history

            Commenter
            Jock22
            Date and time
            September 19, 2013, 7:18PM
            • "and head duckers"

              You mean the bloke that was voted the most courageous player by all of the other AFL players? The ones far more likely to know whether or not Joel Selwood is a 'ducker', or merely someone whose head is always going to be in the way cos his head's always in there.

              BTW, no dime for you, no hawks haters here yet tonight.

              On the other hand ...

              Commenter
              M
              Location
              Melbourne
              Date and time
              September 19, 2013, 8:07PM

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          FRE 115vs NTH 42 Report Stats
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          MEL 103vs WBU 64 Report Stats
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          MEL 54vs PTA 115 Report Stats
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          BRI 49vs SYD 70 Report Stats
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          Round 16
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          GEE 72vs WBU 64 Report Stats
          GCF 79vs GWS 94 Report Stats
          COL 56vs WCE 87 Report Stats
          SYD 57vs HAW 146 Report Stats
          FRE 95vs CAR 53 Report Stats
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          PTA 113vs ADE 116 Report Stats
          STK 73vs RIC 89 Report Stats
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          Round 17
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          CAR 35vs HAW 173 Report Stats
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          GWS 42vs GEE 69 Stats
          ADE 125vs GCF 80 Stats
          RIC 78vs FRE 82 Stats
          ESS 116vs PTA 129 Stats
          BRI 38vs NTH 110 Report Stats
          Sun, 26 JulTimes shown AEST
          WBU 104vs COL 86 Report Stats
          MEL 46vs STK 83 Report Stats
          WCE 103vs SYD 51 Report Stats
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          Round 18
          Fri, 31 JulTimes shown AEST
          HAW 53vs RIC 71 Report Stats
          Sat, 01 AugTimes shown AEST
          GEE 113vs BRI 57 Stats
          COL 54vs MEL 91 Report Stats
          SYD 117vs ADE 65 Report Stats
          CAR 54vs NTH 118 Report Stats
          GCF 83vs WCE 83 Report Stats
          Sun, 02 AugTimes shown AEST
          PTA 112vs STK 49 Report Stats
          ESS 40vs WBU 127 Report Stats
          FRE 84vs GWS 63 Report Stats
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          Round 19
          Fri, 07 AugTimes shown AEST
          ADE 88vs RIC 52 Report Stats
          Sat, 08 AugTimes shown AEST
          COL 105vs CAR 87 Report Stats
          WBU 128vs PTA 64 Report Stats
          BRI 100vs GCF 114 Report Stats
          GEE 95vs SYD 63 Report Stats
          WCE 74vs HAW 88 Report Stats
          Sun, 09 AugTimes shown AEST
          MEL 92vs NTH 127 Report Stats
          GWS 93vs ESS 61 Report Stats
          STK 59vs FRE 96 Report Stats
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          Round 20
          Fri, 14 AugTimes shown AEST
          SYD 87vs COL 76 Report Stats
          Sat, 15 AugTimes shown AEST
          ESS 59vs ADE 171 Report Stats
          NTH 120vs STK 83 Report Stats
          PTA 111vs GWS 90 Report Stats
          GEE 85vs HAW 121 Report Stats
          BRI 131vs CAR 67 Report Stats
          Sun, 16 AugTimes shown AEST
          RIC 138vs GCF 55 Report Stats
          WBU 153vs MEL 55 Report Stats
          FRE 80vs WCE 104 Report Stats
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          Round 21
          Fri, 21 AugTimes shown AEST
          HAW 86vs PTA 108 Report Stats
          Sat, 22 AugTimes shown AEST
          COL 56vs RIC 147 Report Stats
          GWS 44vs SYD 133 Report Stats
          GCF 97vs ESS 95 Report Stats
          STK 97vs GEE 97 Report Stats
          ADE 131vs BRI 44 Report Stats
          Sun, 23 AugTimes shown AEST
          NTH 94vs FRE 83 Report Stats
          CAR 78vs MEL 55 Report Stats
          WCE 162vs WBU 85 Report Stats
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          Round 22
          Fri, 28 AugTimes shown AEST
          GEE 62vs COL 110 Report Stats
          Sat, 29 AugTimes shown AEST
          GWS 132vs CAR 51 Report Stats
          HAW 134vs BRI 62 Report Stats
          NTH 73vs WBU 96 Report Stats
          ESS 47vs RIC 74 Report Stats
          GCF 51vs PTA 88 Report Stats
          Sun, 30 AugTimes shown AEST
          ADE 126vs WCE 69 Report Stats
          STK 38vs SYD 135 Report Stats
          FRE 108vs MEL 54 Report Stats
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          Round 23
          Fri, 04 SepTimes shown AEST
          RIC ($1.06)vs NTH ($9.00) 19:50ES
          Sat, 05 SepTimes shown AEST
          GEE vs ADE 13:05SS
          BRI ($4.50)vs WBU ($1.20) 13:45G
          PTA ($1.15)vs FRE ($5.50) 15:50Adelaide Oval
          HAW ($1.01)vs CAR ($17.00) 16:40MCG
          SYD ($1.04)vs GCF ($11.00) 19:20SCG
          WCE ($1.04)vs STK ($11.00) 19:40Domain Stadium
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          COL ($1.28)vs ESS ($3.70) 15:20MCG
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          Fremantle 21 17 4 0 125.10 68
          West Coast Eagles 21 15 5 1 143.00 62
          Hawthorn 21 15 6 0 156.77 60
          Sydney Swans 21 15 6 0 124.11 60
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          Western Bulldogs 21 14 7 0 116.76 56
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