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 Wireless is good, cable's better 

Wireless is good, cable's better

There's nothing inherently wrong with using debt to create a productive asset. It's not usually smart to fund spending on consumption with debt, other than on a temporary basis. Kevin Rudd is using debt for both purposes at present. Provided he has a clear strategy for paying off the second type of debt, he should be able to convince voters of the merits of borrowing to build a very fast broadband network that breaks Telstra's anti-competitive stranglehold on the telecommunications market.

Although the wisdom government's cash handouts is debatable, it has to use debt to fund budget deficits over the next few years unless its wants to plunge the country deeper into recession by increasing taxes and making savage cuts to spending. But the May budget will give a good indication of how serious the government is about eliminating the deficits after a recovery gets underway.

So long as the deficits are manageable, Rudd will be in a better position to justify the new high-speed broadband network he announced last Monday. If all goes well, the nation will end up with a much improved communications network that encourages the development of new entrepreneurial businesses, especially in regional Australia. The electronic delivery of health and education services should flourish. Farmers will find it more productive to use the internet; households will enjoy access to videophones and much faster downloads of high definition movies.

There is no technical obstacle to Rudd's proposal to connect 90 percent of the nation directly to a high capacity fibre optical cable, and the remainder to improved wireless broadband. But it is impossible to guarantee that the new network will offer cheap internet access or prove a roaring commercial success. Some critics believe the growth in high-speed wireless broadband will undermine the new network. Other analysts say that fibre optic cable does not suffer from the "back spots", or the loss of speed, that can effect wireless, and is more secure and better suited to future growth.

Rudd says the new network will be 51 percent owned by the government and 49 percent by private investors. It will not offer services to retail customers. That job will be left to competing telecommunications companies that pay for access to the network. Their offerings could range from simple internet access to bundled plans that include full phone and pay TV packages. The Australian Financial Review has reported that subscription prices in countries with similar networks vary from $14 a month to over $140.

Final charges will depend on future demand. Some analysts say costs should be relatively low because they expect that only about 25 percent of the network's income will rely on traditional internet usage. The rest is expected to come from new revenue sources as companies exploit novel ways to take advantage of the network's high speeds.

The government will contribute $4.7 billion in cash and borrow about $19 billion for its share of the network's estimated $43 billion cost. The government will issue infrastructure bonds that it expects to appeal to retail investors. It will need to borrow more if it can't find enough private investors to pay for the rest. Given that Australia's net government debt is only one tenth of the average for developed countries, the borrowings — offset by a new asset — should not be a problem.

The level of private sector investment will depend on the network's anticipated profitability. Some investors, such as superannuation funds, may be content to obtain steady, if unexciting, yields suitable for retirement annuities. Until the project is near completion, however, the government may have to provide a higher proportion of the initial funding.

Rudd says the government will start selling its 51 percent share five years after project is completed. Given high-speed broadband's strong growth prospects, it could exit with a solid profit. If this seems unlikely, Rudd will doubt argue that the network makes a worthwhile contribution by boosting national productivity and delivering improved services to the bush. This latter aspect is one reason two prominent National Party MPs, Barnaby Joyce and Fiona Nash, claim that Rudd has copied an idea they proposed.

State Liberal Party leaders are also backing the plan, making it harder for the federal Coalition leader, Malcolm Turnbull, to reject the required legislation in the Senate. But Turnbull is on strong ground in criticising the lack of detail in last Monday's announcement. He is also putting a normally respectable case that it would be better to leave the task to the private sector.

However, Telstra has previously signalled that it only wanted a cheaper cable that let it retain control of the copper wires that currently provide the final connection to most premises. Competition would improve if Telstra were split up, but smaller players would still struggle to fund new investment during a financial crisis.

Rudd's decision to take the new cable directly into premises has the advantage of finally resolving the big problem created by Kim Beazley, while Communications minister in the Hawke Labor Government, when he structured Telstra so it could dominate the market. John Howard only entrenched the problem by privatising Telstra without separating its wholesale and retail arms. If nothing else, Rudd proposal deserves a big tick on this score alone.

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Date: Newest first | Oldest first
The problem is that the country is so big, and so sparsely populated, that it cannot sustain a free-market driven telecommunications industry. It would be prohibitively expensive. So the government has had to, now on two separate occasions, create companies to build this infrastructure. It makes me wonder why we sold off one that we already had. What is wrong with government owned assets again? They tend to make money, and as citizens we don't have to pay any additional tax, other than paying for a service that we are going to pay for anyway...
Posted by goodgord, 13/04/2009 12:46:37 PM
This article is completely wrong. The fact is the cost of the fibre network is oppressive and will plunge Australia back to the dark days of old labour where a large % of revenues are used to pay debt. The cost of access will increase and stifle innovation far from improving it.
Posted by TrueBlue, 13/04/2009 12:49:37 PM
I am at a loss to understand why the price of $14 to $140 per month from OS countries (without reference of source) is mentioned, while the fact that expert analysts (including a telecommunication CEO) have stated that it is likely to cost us at least $200 per month. None of the other countries have their population spread out like Australia. Also, to say that 75% of the revenue of the proposed venture will come from “innovative” usage of the faster network is saying to the prospective investor “trust me, I will figure out some way of making money to pay for your dividends”. I know Australians are supposed to be hopeless at business but surely the Government cannot think we are that stupid.
Posted by jmazz, 13/04/2009 1:20:39 PM
typical of Tohey to come out in favour of Rudd. Tohey your starting point with Rudd seems to be how can i put a positive spin on anything he says
Posted by jedda, 13/04/2009 3:24:41 PM
the new fibre network announced by the govermant is very interesing but wold be better to build are national water pipeline so capture water from the north and distruted nationwade. and let communication evolve buy private companies . remember no water no life....
Posted by a.butcher, 13/04/2009 3:24:42 PM
jmazz, the source for overseas prices was given in the blog as the Australian Financial Review. Analysts vary in their estimates for Australia. A lot depends on what other business revenue is generated, beyond traditional phone and internet usage. A leading communications expert Paul Budde estimates that new revenue sources will provide about 75 percent of total income, keeping access costs for home internet low. No one can predict these things with complete accuracy, be they in the private or the public sector. But there is widespread agreement that faster broad band will open up many opportunities for business development. Incidentally, Rod Tucker, Prof of information networds, uni of melb, says fibre optic cable is the only "future proof" option.

brian toohey

Posted by brian toohey, 13/04/2009 9:47:05 PM
TrueBlue, Thhere is lttle reason to expect the debt won't be covered by the revenue and eventual sale price, as occured over time with the PMG and its subsequent manifestations. At the very least, revenue will cover more of the costs than occurs with the much larger sums spent on highways in Australia. A small % of govt revenue will be required to service the debt in the initial years.

Brian toohey

Posted by brian toohey, 13/04/2009 9:55:56 PM
The returns on an investment in fast broadband is an example of the potential of investment in technology and science in general. It would be beneficial if we invested tens of billions extra to fund science - an investment not an expense!
Posted by Concerned Canberran, 15/04/2009 12:36:59 AM
CC, I strongly support more money going to R& D, it wont because Rudd's huge naval build up will hog the budgetary resources that could have gone to universities and research. However, the money going to the very fast broadband is an investment in productivity enhancing infrastructure, with the potential for a good return. Scientific research will gain from access to the new cable.

Brian Toohey

Posted by brian toohey, 15/04/2009 1:06:00 PM
Brian Toohey
Brian Toohey, one of Australia's most respected journalists, examines various matters of import.
Prime Minister Kevin Rudd
Prime Minister Kevin Rudd

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