Veteran investor Jim Rogers says next bear market will be 'the worst in our lifetime'

Jim Rogers, 75, says the next bear market in stocks will be more catastrophic than any other market downturn that he's lived through.

The veteran investor says that's because even more debt has accumulated in the global economy since the financial crisis, especially in the US.

Up Next

ASX winners and losers - a snapshot

Video duration

More BusinessDay Videos

Dow falls over 1000 points

US stocks plunged in another trading session with big swings, as equities remained in a tug-of-war with bond yields and investors saw no relief ahead in finding the market's bottom.

While Rogers isn't saying that stocks are poised to enter bear territory now - or making any claim to know when they will - he says he's not surprised that US equities resumed their sell-off on Thursday and he expects the rout to continue.

"When we have a bear market again, and we are going to have a bear market again, it will be the worst in our lifetime," Rogers, the chairman of Rogers Holdings, said in a phone interview.

"Debt is everywhere, and it's much, much higher now."

The plunge in equity markets resumed on Thursday, as the S&P 500 Index sank 3.8 per cent, taking its rout since a January 26 record past 10 per cent and meeting the accepted definition of a correction.


The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged more than 1000 points, while the losses continued in early Asian trading Friday as the Nikkei 225 Stock Average dropped as much as 3.5 per cent.

Rogers, who co-founded the Quantum Fund with George Soros in 1973, has seen severe bear markets before.

Even this century, the Dow plunged more than 50 per cent during the financial crisis, from a peak in October 2007 through a low in March 2009. It sank 38 per cent from its high during the IT bubble in 2000 through a low in 2002.

Rogers predicts the stock market will experience jitters until the US Federal Reserve increases borrowing costs.

That, he says, will be the point when stocks go up again. He said he'll buy an agriculture index today, reiterating his view that prices of such commodities have been depressed for some time.

"I'm very bad in market timing," Rogers said.

When we have a bear market again, and we are going to have a bear market again, it will be the worst in our lifetime.

Jim Rogers

"But maybe there will be continued sloppiness until March when they raise interest rates, and it looks like the market will rally."