The electoral tsunami that wiped out Queensland Labor cannot be shrugged off by Julia Gillard as being exclusively based on state issues.
Publicly her backers argue the election was fought totally on state issues, but only a fool would ignore that two of the prime factors have strong federal resonance.
They are the cost of living and truth in politics - both of which Tony Abbott links to the carbon tax.
The result in Queensland has shaken the Prime Minister, now in South Korea. It's not so clear if she gets the message from the furious reaction of Queensland voters - they don't like being deceived.
A major reason for Anna Bligh being re-elected at the previous election was the incompetence of the Opposition. She acknowledged her brush with political death at the time but, instead of learning, repaid voters with two harsh policy decisions, on privatisation and petrol.
The end of the almost sacred petrol subsidy for country areas hardened anti-Labor sentiment. But the plan to sell rail, road and port assets angered Labor's core supporters, in cities such as Ipswich and Rockhampton.
This betrayal is acknowledged by former Labor premier Peter Beattie as the key factor in Bligh's demise.
Labor's statewide vote collapsed and never regained ground, apart from a weak, temporary blip when Bligh took charge during the floods.
The broad result of Saturday's election was known well beforehand. That's why Tony Abbott jumped on the bandwagon with his disingenuous claim the election was a referendum on the carbon tax.
It was no such thing, but the clever campaigner knows all the rehashing of Bligh's mistake resonates with his campaign that Gillard has lied to the electorate over the carbon tax and is therefore unfit for high office.
He was unable to restrain his gleeful anticipation the smack down for Queensland Labor would be repeated in the federal election.
''Voters of Queensland have delivered a resounding verdict on governments that don't tell the truth and this [federal government] is a government which doesn't tell the truth,'' he said.
If the voters punished federal Labor MPs in Queensland in the same way, Abbott could win on that state's results alone. Polling released yesterday by Essential Media has the Coalition leading Labor 54-46 but the ALP has narrowed the gap.
The challenge for the Prime Minister is to explain her policies to voters in Queensland, and hope their mood has ameliorated enough to listen.
With the leadership challenge and Queensland election out of the way, she has no excuse if she cannot deliver her message. She must not make the same mistake as Bligh did, with personal attacks on her opponent, no matter what she thinks of his ideology.