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PM warned over 'hell to highwater state'

11 Feb, 2009 07:13 AM
The Rudd Government must call an urgent science summit in Canberra to discuss links between climate change and extreme weather events across Australia, a leading scientist says.

Australian National University climate scientist Andrew Glikson has written to Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, urging him to consider new research that shows the rate of global warming is rapidly accelerating.

''It seems science has not been moving as fast as the rate of climate change, and much of the information on which the Rudd Government has made its decisions has been superseded.

''They need to catch up.

''They need to update their policies.''

The new research findings confirmed Australia's greenhouse emission reduction targets of 5 to 15 per cent were ''totally inadequate and outdated,'' Dr Glikson said.

A number of recent studies, including reports by CSIRO atmospheric scientists, show carbon and methane emissions are rising faster than expected and existing greenhouse reduction targets may not be sufficient to prevent a ''catastrophic'' rise in the average temperatures across the globe.

''Unless simultaneous efforts are made to sharply cut carbon emissions and develop the technology for down-draw of atmospheric carbon dioxide, the future of our young and future generations looks grim,'' DrGlikson said

His email to the Prime Minister, urging Mr Rudd to take a stronger leadership stance on climate change, coincides with warnings by scientists preparing to attend next month's global climate science summit in Copenhagen.

Katherine Richardson, a marine biologist at the University of Copenhagen, has said the world's political leaders are being too timid and ''wishy-washy'' in addressing climate change.

A key issue to be discussed at the summit is whether it is still possible to limit the average global temperature rise to 2 degrees Celsius a level which the European Union has defined as ''dangerous climate change''.

Dr Glikson said current atmospheric carbon dioxide levels had reached 387 parts per million and ''are already in the danger zone''.

''The new findings indicate that targets considered in the Garnaut review, namely 450ppm or 550ppm of carbon dioxide, cannot be sustained.

''This is because carbon cycle feedbacks, including looming methane emissions, and the dynamics of ice [and] warming melt water interactions, threaten runaway warming leading toward tipping points, as occurred repeatedly in the past.''

He said Australia was now in a ''hell to high water state'', with the Victorian bushfires and Queensland floods offering a glimpse into a future where ''extreme events hit hard and fast''.

''It has long been predicted that global warming will manifest itself through a series of extreme weather events, the result of high energy cyclones generated over warming ocean water, rising air plumes over land and increasing temperature contrasts between evaporating water surfaces, cloud masses and warm land air currents.

''Close connections are documented between global warming trends and the increased frequency of heat waves.''

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These summits must be leaving their own indelible carbon footprint as participants jet in from the 4 corners of the continent. Is it not possible to have a summit via email or video-link?
Posted by Observer JWH Party, 11/02/2009 9:00:05 AM
As this important article shows, the link between climate change and increased risk and severity of bushfires is established by climate scientists. It is established science that Australia is getting hotter and drier because of climate change, and there is strong evidence that increased wind speeds are also caused by warming. Climate change sets up the ideal conditions for fire storms to be more frequent than ever before. Bushfires will be more frequent and more severe in the future because of climate change. If we are serious about reducing bushfire risk, it is absolutely vital that we act now to slow down and turn around climate change by urgently reducing all sources of global warming emissions that we possibly can. We should be asking every politician who voices concern about bushfires what they are doing to deliver a safe climate for our children. Fighting climate change and fighting fires are both part of the solution to making communities safer.
Posted by Green Cooling, 11/02/2009 9:10:11 AM
It is pointless "cutting back on greenhouse gas emissions" while the ever-increasing population on this finite-sized planet cancels the savings out. The only solution is to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 90% AND reduce the world's population AS WELL. While population continues to increase, nothing will stop greenhouse gas emissions. Please, please, for the sake of the planet, STOP increasing population. It literally is costing the Earth. Sterility is the ONLY answer!
Posted by Realist, 11/02/2009 10:47:11 AM
'Realist' is 100% right - we need to tackle population size, as well as per capita ecological fooprint. These 2 factors act as multipliers, & both require urgent action. The decisions we each make about controlling our own fertility are vital, as is our support for overseas aid to support family planning services for poorer nations. We need to get global population down from 6.5bn to 2bn, if we are to have a hope of saving much of the planet's biodiversity. And we need to have global population peak at the lowest possible level eg 8bn or 9bn, before it falls. That will require massive effort by all nations - including us!
Posted by Ellie, 11/02/2009 12:09:43 PM
"Hell to Highwater" reminds me of the stubborn Pharoah. The flip-flop PM listens to his own tiny brain and reasoning, not to a world of proof and reports. Even Penny Wong is suceeding to 'toe the party line' of Senate babble when asked direct questions. I thought better of her character. "Things" like climate change have Politics first, not values. So, the price $$$ of delay is now being revealed as the earth is angry and violent.
Posted by adaptapensioner.com, 11/02/2009 12:15:45 PM
ANYTHING this country does, is not going to make one slight bit of difference. Not while China and India are polluting the planet. Of course scientists are asking for research, meetings etc, it keeps them in a job. I am yet to see this alleged global warming. One end we have floods, another fire. In the middle we currently have 21 degrees. Maybe the world will be flat again soon.
Posted by Grant, 11/02/2009 12:40:47 PM
We are already past certain climate tipping points. We have already changed the climate. Australia and the world needs to urgently act to reduce carbon emissions to limit the more severe climate change impacts in the future. The changed climate is resulting in the extinction of species. Our actions will determine how much biodiversity we can preserve along with ourselves. We need to act on emissions to limit the long term impact and we also need to adapt to the changing climate which will include for Australia more severe extreme weather events, rising sea levels, and a hotter and drier climate for the southwest and south eastern Australia. Big impacts on agriculture and water availability. The Rudd Government needs to urgently listen to scientists and scientific forums and re-address its climate action policies if it isn't to be condemned for policies high in public relations promises but lacking in substantive action.
Posted by takver, 11/02/2009 12:55:54 PM
Global warming can be measured in meters per year, simply by looking at the rate at which glaciers retreat worldwide. Australia has the largest carbon footprint per person in the world. John Howard used a horrible shooting to introduce gun control against opposition in his own ranks. Kevin Rudd uses a devastating bushfire to - talk?
Posted by tidbin, 11/02/2009 1:33:31 PM
Rudd absolutely must act on warnings from scientists like Glikson. Failing to take greater action on climate change after the recent fires, heatwaves and floods would be unforgivable.
Posted by Isobel, 11/02/2009 2:36:50 PM
Sirs, Where was Glickson all those years when the mad irrigation schemes on water crazy crops such as cotton, maize, rice, sugar cane & tobacco was in progress ? Are not such irrigations still going on while the Murray is not running backward with sea water ? Just good policy for such scientist to jump now on the band wagon of all those concerned people, with over more than 250 people burned to death recently, hey ? and looking for culprits too Unfortunately for the Australian Government the answers to the situation are not the ones provided by those Universities dudes, still clinging madly to their fraudulent Geology dogmas ! One being the stability of Earth on present orbital position, and another being that once the situation is stabilised back to say pre 1950 CO2 & Methane levels, the situation as it was before. A kind a cyclic merry go round so to speak ! Not so ! Due to Global Warming epi-phenomena our Planet is drifting on Ecliptics ( of which only the True Geology teaches) and the consequences are manifold : - The no-return to previous situation since phenomena of that nature are not cyclic - The decrease of native water pressure feeding down below the aquifers of the world ( only the Vitellius cycle is taught by the Fraudulent Geology indeed) - Irreversible loss of water head in aquifers leading to the destruction of tree cover & the invasion of sea water in such inland aquifers due to the scaling up of sea water differential - Irreversible heightening of the De Coriolis forces with the climbing of tangential speeds in met vortex : Cyclones up to 350 Km/h and Tornadoes up to 600 Km/h now. I am sorry to say that the immediate answer for the Australia Government is in seeking Never sought before immediate responses, a drastic shift in priorities favouring not quick profit but long term sustainability & survival ! ... and last but not least avoiding resorting to advices from fatly paid alleged scientists from the ANU (or elsewhere) who not only were unable to anticipate the events, but as well are unable to bring the only adapted replies to a fast degrading environment. Indeed none are aware of our past and as well unable to foresee the real future of the Earth heading towards Mars ... Why should one take notice of such ignorance, confirmed by the sterility of their contribution to Australia richness May be it could be worthwhile for Rudd, Barnett, Bramby & Co to ask for advice to a well known Australia Mining Pioneer ? Yours faithfully Jean-Paul Turcaud Exploration Geologist Australia Mining Pioneer ( 3 major mines & a Town) Founder of the True Geology
Posted by Jean-Paul Turcaud, 12/02/2009 5:37:24 AM
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The sun is seen rising behind the funnels of the brown coal Hazelwood Power Station in Latrobe Valley. Photo: REUTERS
The sun is seen rising behind the funnels of the brown coal Hazelwood Power Station in Latrobe Valley. Photo: REUTERS

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