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 Rents tipped to rise 10pc as approvals fall 

Rents tipped to rise 10pc as approvals fall

31 Jul, 2008 08:46 AM
Rents could jump a further 10 per cent this year because of the worsening housing shortfall, the nation's biggest bank has warned.

Government data issued yesterday showed growth in building approvals unexpectedly fell for a second straight month in June and now stood nearly 8 per cent lower than a year earlier.

Commonwealth Bank estimates say annual approvals are around 160,000 units, well below the 185,000 needed to meet demand from population growth, 457 visa workers, students and working visa groups.

CBA senior economist Michael Workman said the insufficient level of residential construction would intensify the shortfall in rental accommodation that was driving rents up strongly.

He said rents were likely to rise by 10 per cent over this year, adding about 0.5 per cent to already heated inflation pressures.

A report last week showed rents grew by double digits in most of the country's major cities in the past 12 months, including 25 per cent jump in Perth.

The Federal Government launched its National Rental Affordability Scheme last week, which is aimed at increasing the supply of affordable rental dwellings by 50,000, and possibly 100,000 by 2012.

But analysts expect it could be at least a year before struggling low-income families gain any benefit.

Building approvals fell for a second straight month in June, declining by a seasonally adjusted 0.7 per cent to 12,237 units, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics.

Economists had expected a 1 per cent rise in June after a revised 7.2 per cent decline in May.

The weaker-than-expected result was largely due to a further 1.4 per cent decline in ''other dwellings'' such as flats and apartments which have now slumped 22 per cent in the past year. AAP

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Date: Newest first | Oldest first
The problem is not as simplistic as population growth. Interest rates are the driving factor of high rental prices as they make owning your own home more expensive but in turn, high interest rates will induce housing prices to fall as demand slackens - evidenced by building approval rates and sales rates across the nation. As this market is in a turbulent state, governments should be focused upon subsidising first home buyers' weekly repayments. The first home owners scheme's $7000 is not enough to cover stamp duty (don't forget that this was meant to be abolished when GST came into effect) let alone contribute to the high weekly repayments brought about by elevated interest rates. This type of subsidy would benefit those people currently being squeezed out of the rental market and it would have a negligible effect on demand, reducing the chance of worsening housing affordability. Finally, with Australia’s low birth rate, immigration is required to ensure Australia's continued growth.
Posted by Anon, 31/07/2008 2:00:48 PM
The Rudd government is causing this rental crisis by allowing huge numbers of migrants to enter the country. We do not have the capacity to house the number of migrants currently entering the country. The government should reduce migration to a level where housing supply is adequate to meet demand. The excessive migration is simply adding to inflation and increasing the strain on the "working family".
Posted by Population growth, 31/07/2008 12:15:02 PM

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