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Fast forward back to the future

09 Apr, 2009 12:08 PM
Kevin Rudd might not like the comparison.

Nearly 90 years ago, prime minister Billy Hughes returned triumphant from an overseas trip and announced a public private partnership to construct a nation-building communications network.

He urged the members of Parliament ''to take their courage in both hands, and to have a little faith in the future of this country''.

His plan was for the Commonwealth to take a bare majority stake in a company establishing a direct wireless telegraph service between Australia and Britain. This service would compete with the undersea cables that had carried electronic communication between Australia and the rest of the world since the Overland Telegraph Line opened in 1872.

It was a huge risk. No commercial wireless service was operating over anything like the distance between Britain and south-eastern Australia. After commitments were made but before construction started, new short-wave wireless technology was developed offering faster transmission speeds but lower costs than the long-wave technology initially proposed. The Marconi Company that developed it was an aggressive multinational that had sued the Commonwealth for patent infringement a few years earlier.

But the potential benefits seemed immense. Wireless promised lower prices for telegrams because of its lower costs. A direct link with London that could not be severed by hostile powers resonated strongly in a dominion distant from the heart of the British Empire.

A public private partnership was chosen rather than a wholly public or private entity for several reasons. The Commonwealth could more easily afford a big capital injection than private investors. The private Marconi Company and its Australian affiliate Amalgamated Wireless (Australasia), AWA, controlled the patents. Hughes had little time for the bureaucrats at the post office who were the most likely operators of a state-owned service, preferring the businessmen at Marconi and AWA.

The partnership was consummated in 1922 when the Commonwealth took a bare majority stake in a recapitalised AWA. The shares were held until the Menzies government sold them in 1951, although the international wireless services were nationalised into the new Overseas Telecommunications Commission soon after the war.

While this history does not offer neat lessons for Kevin Rudd's proposed public private communications partnership, it does provide clues about how such an arrangement might succeed, stretch and strain. Those clues lie in the technology, the market power of the institution created and its financial performance, the duration of the arrangement and the level of political support for it.

Technology is always a risk, even apparently ''future-proof'' technology like fibre to the premises. Finance Minister Lindsay Tanner and industry analyst Paul Budde both call it ''the final destination'', but in telecommunications networks there is no such thing. Networks extending fibre closer or all the way to customers' premises are already being deployed on a small scale in parts of Australia and more widely overseas, so they may not seem to require the kind of bold technical gamble taken on Marconi's untried short-wave technology in the 1920s.

But the particular equipment and network architecture chosen and the speeds and user experiences they deliver are no less capable of embarrassing the broadband partners. Recent Australian Bureau of Statistics data shows it is mobile broadband that is booming ahead of fixed-line broadband in Australia. Nearly one in five Australian broadband subscribers is now a mobile wireless subscriber.

The voice telephone market shows how attractive mobility can be to consumers. Mobile phones hardly existed two decades ago. Now there are more services than people in Australia, and more than twice as many as fixed-line services.

This new network is likely to be an immensely powerful force in the market for fixed-line communications. How the Government-majority-controlled partnership uses that power will be just as sensitive as the way Telstra used its power over the last decade when, like AWA, it was Government-majority-controlled. Will the public private partnership be any less fierce in defending its investment than Telstra, any more enthusiastic about still newer technologies that threaten the expensive ones in which the taxpayer has a half-share?

Financial performance is a complicated risk for public private partnerships. Perform well, and they are criticised for milking their privileged positions. Perform badly and they are belted for wasting taxpayers' money. The Government's announcement commits only to more discussion about the price of access to the network. The delight about the plan expressed by the companies likely to be seeking that access suggests they expect the Government-as-price-setter to be a soft touch. AWA was no soft touch. One witness at a Royal Commission called it ''the most hated firm in Australia'', adept at milking revenue from patent-licensing, while arguing this was nothing less than the taxpayers that received half its dividends would expect. The value of its shares more than trebled from the time of the recapitalisation in 1922 to January 1945 but it is impossible to tell from the available data whether this performance was generated by the services that motivated the original public investment, or new areas of the wireless business that opened up soon after it, especially radio broadcasting.

Political support for the partnership was never universal or even widespread. Prime minister Hughes got his way, but not without a massive fight in the Parliament and inside his own party.

Within a year of its consummation, he was forced to stand down as prime minister. But before then, he had taken on the crucial position of ''seventh director'' at AWA, ostensibly mediating between the three directors representing the Commonwealth and three representing the private shareholders. He kept the position for the rest of his very long life.

The global financial crisis has given Kevin Rudd a rationale and an opportunity to overturn the liberalisation and privatisation consensus that has dominated telecommunications policy around the world for the last two decades.

It is not yet known who the private partners in the new arrangement will be. But the identity of its public architect is very clear. Like Billy Hughes, Kevin Rudd has got himself a partner for life.

Jock Given is Professor of Media and Communications at Swinburne University's Institute for Social Research. His doctoral thesis at the University of Melbourne was about the early wireless entrepreneur and AWA managing director, Ernest Fisk.

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Date: Newest first | Oldest first
Mr Given is right when he says Kevin Rudd might not like the comparison. There is none, in this piece of convoluted rambling.
Posted by back to the future VI, 9/04/2009 10:09:23 AM
"No commercial wireless service was operating" was the key difference. Here, Rudds election promise was to provide to 98% access for people. Not speed-availability, at a 'Building Future Fund' on what was there already. Then he now wants to out-stage the world- but the service just needs expanding. And where does he think the bulk of technical staff are going to be "re-trained" from? the sackings from the Govt departments who push pens? He just can't 'lose-face' and state "it is our enquiry into"to buy time, so no election promises appear to be neglected. AAPT CEO on Lateline last night had done his maths and the whole 'rennovation' from copper to fibre is not needed-let alone affordable. Can't compare Hughes to Rudd's recklessness. Mr Big when the whole earth is still dying in economic woes. The tide has not turned despite the G20.
Posted by adaptapensioner.com, 9/04/2009 10:16:04 AM
Recent Australian Bureau of Statistics data shows it is mobile broadband that is booming ahead of fixed-line broadband in Australia. This is mainly due to the fact that ADSL or ADSL2+ is not available in quite a number of places. One only need to look at the threads on the whirlpool website.
Posted by whyme, 9/04/2009 10:24:31 AM
And I'm sure the AAPT CEO would have nothing to gain from taking that stance, now, would he? Listen to the people who use the services, not the ones who would financially gain from it. Wake up and join the rest of us in the 21st century. We are woefully behind the rest of the world in terms of our telecommunications infrastructure, and I, for one, applaud Mr Rudd for taking us boldly into the modern age.
Posted by newsbuff, 9/04/2009 10:48:31 AM
Taking into the 21st Century with Broadband yes, but what about Health/ education/ rail/ roads/ ports etc etc etc !! you fool, get the basic infrastructure right, and make a more realistic investment in Broadband like Fibre to the Node at $4.7B which will deliver 100Mbps, spend the other $38B on real world today infrastructure, at least Rudd Co can then upgrade later to Fibre to the Premise when it's needed
Posted by Fools, 9/04/2009 1:07:07 PM
"mobile broadband that is booming ahead of fixed-line broadband". I'm guessing that is in terms of market increase rather than outright market share. Of course - its only been recently that you haven't needed half the NBN budget to finance a couple of emails via mobile. Wireless is useful for its flexibility but terrible for bandwidth and reliability for sometime to come I think. I have a wireless network at home. It drives me crazy but its too difficult and expensive to wire an existing home. If I could afford it, or if I was building a new house I would pick a wired installation in a heart beat. I think its the same with NBN. Fibre will be a difficult and expensive exercise but will give us reliable bandwidth to spare. Wireless would be cheaper and easier but you will have lots of complaints from day 1.
Posted by xBeanie, 9/04/2009 6:13:53 PM
Reports like this suggesting that FTTP is not the way forward for fixed line communications really make me cringe. If you can find something faster than the speed of light then please - email me.
Posted by John, 10/04/2009 11:56:45 AM
Actually, light only travels at it's maximum speed in a vacuum. The signals carried by fiber are no faster than the electrical impulses carried by copper wire. The difference is, fiber can carry a much wider range of signals as variations of light frequency, than cooper can. This is why a single strand of fibre can carry as much data as the many strands of copper wire in a cat5 cable, and for much greater distances. However, there will still be propergation delays as the signals travel through routers and other devices. The data still arrives at one end of the router, gets processed by the onboard chips in the router, and sent out the other end. The speed this processing takes is dependent on the chips in the router. You will be able to download data faster with fiber, but the ping times to US based game servers such as WoW will be much the same.
Posted by MarkW, 10/04/2009 5:19:33 PM
Its been a long time since any Government in Australia has had a vision like this that is what national government is for I thought.
Posted by Daniel, 14/04/2009 5:26:09 PM

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