Putting a price on carbon stored in the landscape is a double-edged sword. If implemented with foresight and planning it could be a critical tool in the fight against climate change and also a dynamic mechanism for breathing new life into restoration of our rural landscapes.
If implemented poorly, its effectiveness in combating climate change will not only be reduced but will lead to less water for our parched rivers, the loss of productive farmland and more pressure on our declining biodiversity.
While emissions reduction is the centrepiece for reducing climate change, there is good evidence that retaining and increasing vegetation cover, particularly of forests and woodlands, is an effective way of removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere as well as an essential element of restoring the water and thermal balance of the planet. Put a price on the storage of carbon, and planting trees moves from an activity undertaken by foresters or environmentalists with an eye on the longer-term returns to an almost immediate source of income for any landholder with the space.
However, planting trees is good not only for the capture of carbon.
Imagine you are a farmer in the Australian wheat belt. You need to plant trees to arrest salinity, erosion and soil acidification but you can't afford to: trees don't usually earn you money for many years, if ever. Then along comes a carbon broker. He offers to pay you money up front to plant trees. In return he wants a credit for the carbon the trees will store. You plant the trees and pocket the cash.
As more and more farmers switch to trees the wheat belt becomes more like a belt of living carbon.
Unfortunately it is not that simple. Our landscapes are not blank canvases on which we can randomly unleash our markets. They are a riddle of soils, water and nutrient flows and ancient hydro-geochemical cycles. It is a riddle which we must understand if we are to avoid creating a new suite of environmental problems while trying to fix climate change.
Increased forestry can have positive landscape impacts but can also lead to a loss of water in our rivers. Poorly placed forestry could also mean the removal of high-quality agricultural land from food production and a further loss of biodiversity through a narrowing of habitat diversity for our native animals and plants.
Clearly this signals a need for good strategic, landscape-wide planning to ensure that carbon markets drive the creation of sustainable and resilient landscapes.
Our society needs a wide range of goods and services from the ecosystems that make up our landscape. Yes, we need to store carbon in as large an area as possible but we also need water, food and diverse habitat for our native animals.
What must we do to capture the opportunity? First, carbon markets need to be managed and regulated in ways so that the market driver delivers multiple benefits to the landscape. We need to ensure that the protection and creation of carbon in the terrestrial sphere is guided by catchment planning planning that balances the many land uses society demands.
A key requirement is to ensure that all land-use change and vegetation management is consistent with a regional or catchment plan. In short, a plan which has market-driven signals, and incentives which support remnant native vegetation with strategic planting of trees that minimises reduction in river flows, maximises the opportunity for maintaining food and fibre production, and improves biodiversity and of course carbon storage.
Second, markets for carbon storage must go beyond trees to include soil and other ecological communities, including sustainable agro-ecosystems designed to increase carbon storage.
The opportunities to store large amounts of carbon in soil and vegetation forms other than trees are very large indeed.
The world's soil contains 82per cent of terrestrial carbon and holds about twice as much carbon as the atmosphere and three times as much carbon as vegetation. Soil represents the largest carbon sink over which we have control.
The good news is, we can have our cake and eat it too. The carbon market, coupled with incentives and markets for ecosystem services, would work together to deliver the multiple benefits to rural productivity, water resources, health of land, soils and biodiversity.
But will we have the wit and the will to do it?
Dr John Williams is a member of the Wentworth Group of Concerned Scientists.