Treasurer Wayne Swan.

Treasurer Wayne Swan. Photo: Andrew Meares

Federal Treasurer Wayne Swan is on track to lose his seat in Queensland, a poll indicates.

The ReachTEL telephone poll was commissioned by union United Voice and surveyed 511 residents in Mr Swan’s north Brisbane electorate of Lilley on Thursday night.

According to ReachTEL, 45.2 per cent of respondents said they would vote for the Liberal National Party candidate Rod McGarvie as their preferred candidate while 38 per cent said they would vote for Labor and Mr Swan.

Just over 45 per cent of respondents (45.1 per cent) said their opinion of the treasurer was unfavourable, compared with 34.1 per cent who said they had a favourable view of him.

Almost 20 per cent (19.1 per cent) were neutral and 1.8 per cent hadn’t heard of the federal treasurer.

In 2010 Mr Swan narrowly scraped home ahead of Mr McGarvie on preferences, weathering a 4.77 per cent swing against him.

The treasurer was more popular with respondents than was Prime Minister Julia Gillard, who was judged unfavourably by 53.2 per cent of respondents and favourably by just 28.7 per cent.

Opposition Leader Tony Abbott was slightly more popular than the prime minister, with 51.5 per cent saying they had unfavourable opinion of him compared with 29.2 per cent who said they liked him.

A spokesman for Mr Swan said the treasurer doesn’t comment on polls.

‘‘He’s more concerned about numbers like the $5000 (that) a family in Nundah with a $300,000 mortgage is saving on their mortgage every year thanks to lower interest rates under Labor,’’ the spokesman said.

United Voice, which represents childcare workers, said the results prove Labor must adopt policies for working people to win seats such as Lilley.

The union’s Queensland secretary Gary Bullock called for a cap on childcare fees and an increase in childcare workers’ wages to overcome a predicted shortage of workers in Queensland.

AAP