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Onus on winning, not bonus points

Date

Ewen McKenzie

Bonus points stack up for the Reds.

Bonus points stack up for the Reds. Photo: Getty Images

There has been plenty of commentary this week about bonus points and the impact they are having on the Reds. It's a good discussion topic because there are some fundamental understandings that need to be considered, as the logic of going out and scoring four tries is not as easy as some people may think.

If it was, why don't teams go out there and score eight tries every game? It happens occasionally, but you can bet your house on it that the ploy was not part of the game plan.

The reality is that tries are scored as a result of systematic pressure, good execution, better tactics, sometimes a bit of luck and perhaps a yellow card or injury across the 80 minutes. This doesn't change whether you are targeting one, four or 10 tries.

The logic is this: a win is worth four points while four tries is worth only one. You must win first. How many teams go out there chasing four tries only to lose? The Highlanders did just that against us and lost.

It's a delicate balance, where in the process of winning, you create pressure on your opposition. Pressure comes from many things but the best place is on the scoreboard.

The stats also back up this theory. There have been 121 games played in Super Rugby this year to this point with a further seven to go. Of those games, teams have scored bonus points on 62 occasions for losing by seven points or fewer.

It becomes more complex with securing the four-try bonus point. Theoretically, each team can secure one in each game, and therefore there have been 242 bonus point opportunities on offer through 17 rounds. The number of four-try bonus points scored this year is 53, which is a strike-rate of just over 20 per cent.

When you look at the competition thus far, the best team at getting attacking bonuses has been the Hurricanes - they have eight four-try bonus points with the Sharks next best at six. The ladder position for the Hurricanes is eighth and the Sharks is sixth. Securing the attack bonus points has helped them no doubt, but consistency in the winning and losing would have them much better placed.

By comparison, running second in the competition by only one point are the Stormers. They have recorded only two bonus points with both for losing by fewer than seven. They are yet to score four tries but have been the most consistent and miserly.

I highlight the above examples as my point is that bonus points mean different things to different teams. My main contention is that if you focus on the winning element consistently, you generally will achieve better results.

The Reds this season have secured five bonus points with a game-in-hand and it will probably surprise many that last year, when we finished first and won the competition, we only secured six.

If we are capable of playing well enough on Saturday through consistently applying 80 minutes of pressure to score four tries, we would equal last year's tally.

Our problem this year hasn't been a lack of bonuses but that we have won two fewer games as compared to our previous season.

So what is the best mindset? Well, the concentration of the team has to be about the process of winning. If we start with what we want the scoreboard to end up as, and then work backwards, we will probably come up empty. Given you can't control the opposition or the referee, concentrating on the scoreboard must be an end product.

We must concentrate on the process of winning, and in the context of Saturday, winning well. To get the process right, you need to avoid the distraction of focusing on the end point and look at the building blocks.

Many things can happen in the seven games this weekend and five of those games have a direct bearing on our final ladder position. We can only control our portion.

Any talk of ''desperation'' and ''throwing caution to the wind'' is misplaced as these are emotional responses to an outcome. We will get an outcome by controlling our emotions and ensuring our decision making and technical execution is of the highest standard across every minute.

We need to build a performance which will probably need to be our finest of the season. That's a worthy target for us because we don't think we have played our best 80 minutes of rugby yet … it's still ahead of us.

The combination of our home ground, an outstanding week of training so far, a proven resolve, numerous tactical opportunities, and an opponent under pressure on and off the field gives us great scope to be good.

24 comments so far

  • Basically Ewan is saying win Ugly and boring is better. Thank god NSW chopped him and Aust re-signed Deans. Ewan should thank his lucky starts he has the Quade and Will show in Qld or he would be just another Eddie Jones disaster.

    Commenter
    Ruggers man
    Location
    Sydney
    Date and time
    July 12, 2012, 10:40AM
    • No, Ewan is saying that winning is the necessary thing. Win first, get the bonus point through sustained pressure, rather than tossing a ball around to try and score 4 tries (and possibly let in more points than you are scoring)....

      I for one was at a loss to understand the politics of chopping McKenzie from the NSW coaching job (politics!) when he had taken the team to more finals football than previous coaches. Ok, the team under him had not convereted two final appearnces into a title, but the mind-set and discipline he installed kept NSW as a viable force in Super Rugby intil this year....

      His statement "Our problem this year hasn't been a lack of bonuses but that we have won two fewer games as compared to our previous season." is the correct mindset for winning the competition.

      If Qld rugby dumps him for failing this year, I want him back in the NSW job!

      Commenter
      roro1955
      Location
      Gosford, NSW
      Date and time
      July 12, 2012, 11:11AM
    • Yes, thank God here in NSW we have the excitement machine that is the Waratahs.....

      Commenter
      Ter
      Location
      Balmain
      Date and time
      July 12, 2012, 11:46AM
    • @Ruggers man, did you read the whole article? In the context of this round and this season, you've missed the point entirely.

      I've been critical of Ewen in the past, but credit where it's due. He has done an exceptional job at the Reds and has the results to prove it.

      Commenter
      Phil
      Location
      Sydney
      Date and time
      July 12, 2012, 12:18PM
    • "Thank god NSW chopped him " - yes, they've been going so much better since then! "Ewan should thank his lucky starts he has the Quade and Will show" - sorry, is that the Quade who has been out injured for so long, and who was way off form for a while before that? Yes, of course their form and results is all down to him - nothing to do with the structures and confidence that the coach and team have put together ...

      Commenter
      JCR
      Date and time
      July 12, 2012, 12:58PM
    • 4 bonus-point wins = 20 points.

      5 non-bonus-point wins also = 20 points.

      Therefore, if the pursuit of the bonus point causes you to drop more than one game in five - and it certainly could - you'll be worse off than if you'd just focused on winning and let the bonus points worry about themselves.

      Commenter
      The Claw
      Location
      Sydney
      Date and time
      July 12, 2012, 4:12PM
  • Work on fact instead of unsubstantiated opinion. Look at Australia's record, NSW's record & Qld's record since McKenzie moved north. Points to McKenzie.
    Look at the style of play between Australia, NSW & Qld. The entertainment points also go to McKenzie.
    Being a NSWelshman, I'd prefer McKenzie to the ones who replaced him.

    Commenter
    jaybee
    Date and time
    July 12, 2012, 11:18AM
    • Good troll ruggers man (obviously not). All year the Reds have been threatening to cut loose. To do their thing. To turn it up. Sometimes they've been too cocky, sometimes too lazy, sometimes too unsure of themselves. Time to turn the key boys and get it on ! Now or never. Full throttle. Just do it !

      Commenter
      johnny-boy
      Date and time
      July 12, 2012, 11:18AM
      • Their handicap to cutting loose was the terrible run of injuries in the centres - Will Genia had a different No 10 , 12 and 13 every week for 5 weeks. And the over officious 5 week penalty for Digby [compared with what others have got for worse offences] all contributed to making it hard to get a consistent game going. Hopefully this week with everyone back but Horwill they can cut loose.

        Commenter
        Andy
        Date and time
        July 12, 2012, 2:48PM
    • Reds will get the job done with a bonus point win on Saturday night.... Full stop.!!
      The thing about the Reds, They are bunch of big stage performers. Just look at the game against the Chiefs few weeks ago. For the Waratahs, better luck next year guys.

      Commenter
      Red Riding Hood
      Date and time
      July 12, 2012, 11:35AM

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