RACE OF THE DAY

Where to start? We've got the first group 1 of the Sydney autumn in the Chipping Norton Stakes at Warwick Farm. It's a small field but it marks the return of superhorse It's A Dundeel, which took the three-year-old Triple Crown in Sydney before struggling last spring with injury. Whether 1600 metres is a touch short for the champion remains to be seen, but trainer Murray Baker has been bullish in the media about his charge's prospects. The big question is whether Epsom and Emirates winner Boban returns to his best. A proven miler, on his day he'd be almost unbeatable here, but two less-than-convincing runs this preparation have left punters wary. At Flemington we've got two cracker group 1s in the Newmarket Handicap and the Australian Cup. The latter is Fiorente's to lose after his stunning return in the Peter Young. He meets his Cox Plate conqueror and Australian Guineas winner Shamus Award five kilos better on Saturday. The Newmarket is a much more open affair. Moment Of Change is aiming for his third consecutive group 1 while there are questions over Oakleigh Plate winner Lankan Rupee and how he'll step up to the 1200 metres. Can Samaready pinch another big race? She'll need to become just the third mare to win the race carrying more than 52.5 kilos.

DON'T FORGET …

Canberra may be hosting its premier two-year-old race of the season on Sunday, but there are plenty of good ones running at Warwick Farm instead. A win in the Lonhro Plate for Wandjina, the $1 million purchase for Gai Waterhouse, would almost assure a start in the Golden Slipper.

 

BET OF THE DAY

GUELPH

 It would take a brave punter to dismiss Guelph after a poor first-up run. She has always been vulnerable when beginning her preparation but returns to a more favourable distance at Warwick Farm. She's better than her run first-up and will prove it here.

 

LAY DOWN YOUR LOBSTER

$10 win Warwick Farm race 7, No.1 Guelph

 Her failure in the Light Fingers, her wide draw, and the wet track all suggest she won't be as heavily backed as usual - all the more reason to get on her now when she is a useful price.

$5 win Warwick Farm race 6, No.1 Pinwheel

 Is racing in tremendous form and drops back to group 3 company here after finishing less than a length third behind Moment Of Change in the group 1 Futurity Stakes last start.

$5 win Flemington race 9, No.2 Banca Mo

 This could be too short for him but the way he was smashing some good horses last year before serious injury suggests his class may be too talented for this bunch.