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Eight things you won't recognise about Melbourne in 2051

Get ready for more crowded footpaths, streets and public transport with Melbourne's population expected to grow almost 80 per cent by 2050.

Get ready for more crowded footpaths, streets and public transport with Melbourne's population expected to grow almost 80 per cent by 2050. Photo: Paul Rovere

The government is planning for a metropolis of 7.7 million by 2051, Melbourne is going to change a lot, according to Plan Melbourne. This is how it will affect you.

1) Welcome to BIG MELBOURNE

It's going to be busier, much busier - on footpaths, freeways, backstreets, trams and trains.

Melbourne's city centre will expand to become Australia's biggest.

Melbourne's city centre will expand to become Australia's biggest. Photo: Jessica Shapiro

Schools will have more students and the wait at the local doctors may lengthen. Melbourne's population growth projections are massive – almost 80 per cent more residents by 2050.

2) Melbourne will be Australia's largest city centre.

The CBD is sprawling. The Hoddle Grid will no longer be the centre of the city - add areas such as Montague (South Melbourne), e-gate (Footscray Road), and the north bank of the Yarra River.

You'll have a lot more neighbours so here's hoping they are agreeable.

You'll have a lot more neighbours so here's hoping they are agreeable. Photo: Supplied: Universal Pictures

3) The big squeeze

Everybody may need good neighbours but do you need this many? More than 60 per cent of all new homes will be in established suburbs. The Christmas street party is going to be a crowded affair.

4) Leave my leafy suburb alone!

More Melbournes will live in apartments and the the city's CBD will be Australia's biggest.

More Melbournes will live in apartments and the the city's CBD will be Australia's biggest. Photo: Harry Afentoglou

The most crowded areas will be in Melbourne's west, north and south east where population growth is expected to be double than in Melbourne's eastern suburbs.

5) Freeway blitz

Melbourne is a city that can't resist building a new freeway/tollway. Even after the $16 billion east west link from the Eastern Freeway to the Western Ring Road, several more are planned, including completing the ring road from Greensborough to the Eastern Freeway and a new outer ring road.

Backyard play may move to shared communal areas with more Melburnians living in apartments and townhouses.

Backyard play may move to shared communal areas with more Melburnians living in apartments and townhouses. Photo: Jason South

6) What jobs will you have?

There will be plenty of jobs in health and business services such as finance and insurance while manufacturing will almost halve its slice of Victoria's workforce by 2031 to just six per cent.

7) Goodbye to the backyard

Bid farewell to the great Australian backyard with lots more living in apartments. Two apartments or townhouses for every new detached home.

8) Well, this you may recognise - a long wait for the train

Don't expect to be catching a train to the airport for that trip to Bali next year.

New train vision could take decades. Melbourne's City Loop was funded through a combination of state government money and a levy on city properties – it still took almost 15 years to complete.

Melbourne's Rail Link from Melbourne Airport to Southern Cross and South Yarra will cost up to $11 billion. Less than 10 per cent of this is in state the budget papers. At the current level investment - without federal funding - it could take 40 years to fund the project.

58 comments

  • the 9th thing is....... the people

    Commenter
    DifferentLens
    Location
    Melbourne
    Date and time
    May 20, 2014, 3:00PM
    • ..That will be alright if they all look like Zac Efron and his "friends" in the above photo!

      Commenter
      Moodle
      Location
      Melbourne
      Date and time
      May 20, 2014, 3:11PM
    • I don't think Melbourne will have this many people by 2051. It is a just a dream by some people with extensive property portfolios. For this to happen, Melbourne would need to grow its economy significantly. They aren't just going to come here without a job. I see that finance is sited as an industry where there will be plenty of jobs. I work in finance and most of the jobs in my area are at the other end of the Hume (at an even more crowded ugly city).

      Commenter
      ZAM
      Location
      Melbourne
      Date and time
      May 20, 2014, 3:26PM
    • Where has the debate been about whether we want this for our city? More people and restricted land supply means higher priced housing and smaller floor space (and garden space) per person.

      Housing affordability and the sister issue of population policy are screaming out to be debated and discussed, but both major parties ignore the issue because they are obsessed with growth, growth, growth, growth and fearful of being labelled as racist (despite willing to demonise refugees).

      The first politician who can tap the growing discontent in Melbourne and Sydney about the population policies being forced upon people is going to do very well. Unfortunately, it might be Palmer the Popularist trying to wedge the Libs, rather than someone more sensible.

      Commenter
      Andrew
      Location
      Fitzroy
      Date and time
      May 20, 2014, 3:33PM
    • What's the big deal these days about Melbourne getting bigger? It's happening everywhere around the world. Why do we just focus on our city in Melbourne. Let's look at what is happening in all the countries... it's as if nobody was expecting this.

      Commenter
      The Other Guy1
      Date and time
      May 20, 2014, 3:36PM
    • @Moodle - made my day.

      One thing that won't be different in 2051 is Fairfax using stock photography because they sacked their photographers in 2014!

      Commenter
      Andrew
      Location
      Melbourne
      Date and time
      May 20, 2014, 3:48PM
    • If Montague will be see a huge population growth I suggest that they build a new rail line there - oh hang on - the coalition are - good forward thinking - unlike Labor which is all talk and debt and no action.

      Commenter
      the Truth
      Location
      Melbourne
      Date and time
      May 20, 2014, 4:26PM
    • Andrew, you ask about the debate as to whether we want a Big Melbourne and a Big Australia foisted upon us, but you know as well as I do, that there is no debate because the government (both sides) know what most of us would say. Therefore, they don't ask, and they just continue with the "fill 'er up" mentality.

      Remember, they have a housing bubble to maintain, and that is their main priority. There is no way they will let this bubble pop.

      And yes, if there was a politician willing to talk about population growth and housing affordability they would have a lot of support, but if they come from either of the two main parties they would be shot down in flames. If they came from a fringe party it would be too hard to get themselves heard. Meanwhile the housing Ponzi continues unabated.

      Commenter
      Don't Prop Up the Ponzi
      Date and time
      May 20, 2014, 4:51PM
  • Sounds awful!..Tassie here I come!

    Commenter
    Moodle
    Location
    Melbourne
    Date and time
    May 20, 2014, 3:03PM
    • Don't bother with Tas! STAY AWAY. Already investigated if it's wrth going there. Can only think Tas is a good retirement place when your done working and earning money but anything before your retirement is not an option. In my early thirties, went there few times this year to decide on the sea change but no... no way aye. Have contacts that own couple businesses there, they moved from Melb and Syd they are going bankrupt because the locals don't accept mainlanders. They think we take their cheap property. So my friends there are moving back. Just thought I would stop you before doing so. I think Id rather put up with a crowded Melbourne that has jobs.

      Commenter
      The Other Guy1
      Date and time
      May 20, 2014, 3:45PM

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