Australian election 2022: Big businesses, small productivity gains

By John Edwards
December 13 2021 - 6:00pm

The opinion poll trend through 2021 has been so consistent that a Labor win in next year's federal election must be real possibility. In the two-party-preferred poll trend constructed by the Poll Bludger's William Bowe, the government and the opposition were even at the start of the year, but now the two-party average is 53.6 per cent for Labor and 46.4 per cent for the government. This is a swing of 5.1 points to Labor compared to the 2019 election result, and quite sufficient to give the party a majority in the House.

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