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The Brumbies solution - how they'll win

Date

Kyle Mackey-Laws

Remember this? It was 2004 when the Brumbies brought home the spoils. History can repeat itself this year.

Remember this? It was 2004 when the Brumbies brought home the spoils. History can repeat itself this year. Photo: Simon Alekna

Mathematical scenarios which will dictate the final make-up of the Super Rugby finals can do your head in.

So here it is in a nutshell:

If the Brumbies beat the Blues tomorrow night, they will play finals football in 2012. Done. Easy as you like. Lock it in Eddie.

If they lose, they can still pick up a bonus point for:

  • scoring four or more tries, or
  • losing by seven points of less.

If that happens, they make the play-offs as the highest-ranked team in the Australian conference.

If they lose without a bonus point, the Queensland Reds can overtake the Brumbies as the Number 1 Aussie team.

But for this to happen, the Reds must get a bonus point win against the NSW Waratahs.

The Brumbies would then be relying on the Gods – or more specifically, a number of underdogs beating favourites by lots of points which would keep the Brumbies in the top six overall teams. It’s highly unlikely.

So assuming the Brumbies do take a point from the Blues clash – they’ve done so in every home and away match of the season – they’ll play finals.

And from there we have an easy and straight-forward way for the Brumbies to win a championship at home.

By Sunday, the top four will read:

1st – Cape Town Stormers, 2nd – Waikato Chiefs, 3rd – ACT Brumbies, 4th – Canterbury Crusaders.

The two remaining spots in the finals will be filled by the Pretoria Bulls and the Durban Sharks.

With this scenario, the Stormers and Chiefs will enjoy the first week off. The Brumbies beat the Sharks at Canberra Stadium, and the Crusaders knock off the Bulls in Christchurch.

From there, the Brumbies head to Hamilton to play the Chiefs. They’ll win.

The Crusaders take the daunting trip to Cape Town to play the Stormers. Remarkably, they too win.

Which means we have our two finalists. The Brumbies host the Crusaders at Canberra Stadium in the championship decider.

And we all know what happened the last time these two sides played off for the title in 2004. We all cheered long and hard. The Brumbies won.

It can happen again.

Rugby Internationals 2014

Round 1
Sat, 07 JunTimes shown AEST
SAM 18 vs TGA 18 Report Stats
FJI 25 vs ITA 14 Report Stats
NZL 20 vs ENG 15 Report Stats
AUS 50 vs FRA 23 Report Stats
Sun, 08 JunTimes shown AEST
RSA 47 vs WXV 13 Report Stats
ARG 17 vs IRE 29 Report Stats
USA 6 vs SCO 24 Report Stats
CAN 25 vs JPN 34 Report Stats
View All Fixtures
Round 2
Sat, 14 JunTimes shown AEST
SAM 15 vs ITA Report Stats
FJI 45 vs TGA 17 Report Stats
NZL 28 vs ENG 27 Report Stats
AUS 6 vs FRA Report Stats
Sun, 15 JunTimes shown AEST
RSA 38 vs WAL 16 Report Stats
CAN 17 vs SCO 19 Report Stats
ARG 17 vs IRE 23 Report Stats
USA 29 vs JPN 37 Report Stats
View All Fixtures
Round 3
Sat, 21 JunTimes shown AEST
ARG 19 vs SCO 21 Report Stats
FJI 13 vs SAM 18 Report Stats
JPN 26 vs ITA 23 Report Stats
AUS 39 vs FRA 13 Stats
NZL 36 vs ENG 13 Report Stats
Sun, 22 JunTimes shown AEST
RSA 31 vs WAL 30 Report Stats
USA 38 vs CAN 35 Report Stats
View All Fixtures
Round 4
Sun, 29 JunTimes shown AEST
RSA 55 vs SCO 6 Report Stats
View All Fixtures
Round 5
Sun, 02 NovTimes shown AEDT
BAR 36 vs AUS 40 Report Stats
USA 6 vs NZL 74 Report Stats
View All Fixtures
Round 6
Sun, 09 NovTimes shown AEDT
ITA 24 vs SAM 13 Report Stats
ENG 21 vs NZL 24 Report Stats
WAL 28 vs AUS 33 Report Stats
FRA 40 vs FJI 14 Report Stats
IRE 29 vs RSA 15 Report Stats
SCO 41 vs ARG 31 Report Stats
View All Fixtures
Round 7
Sun, 16 NovTimes shown AEDT
ITA 18 vs ARG 20 Report Stats
ENG 28 vs RSA 31 Report Stats
WAL 17 vs FJI 13 Report Stats
SCO 16 vs NZL 24 Report Stats
FRA 29 vs AUS 26 Report Stats
Mon, 17 NovTimes shown AEDT
IRE 49 vs GEO 7 Report Stats
View All Fixtures
Round 8
Sun, 23 NovTimes shown AEDT
ITA 6 vs RSA 22 Report Stats
SCO 37 vs TGA 12 Report Stats
IRE 26 vs AUS 23 Report Stats
WAL 16 vs NZL 34 Report Stats
ENG 28 vs SAM 9 Report Stats
FRA 13 vs ARG 18 Report Stats
View All Fixtures
Round 9
Sun, 30 NovTimes shown AEDT
ENG 26 vs AUS 17 Report Stats
WAL 12 vs RSA 6 Report Stats
View All Fixtures
 
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