Opinion

My prediction? A close-fought ACT election in 2020

John Warhurst
By John Warhurst
Updated July 1 2021 - 5:16pm, first published October 23 2019 - 5:30pm

Election forecasting is a mug's game. Most pundits, including myself, got the result of the last ACT election in 2016 wrong, and repeated the mistake at the 2019 federal election. Many thought the most likely results were a Liberal win in the ACT and a Labor win in the Commonwealth election. The Chief Minister called his Labor win Brexit in reverse, while for the Prime Minister his election result was a miracle.

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John Warhurst

John Warhurst

Canberra Times columnist

John Warhurst is an emeritus professor of political science at the Australian National University and a regular columnist for The Canberra Times.

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